Digital Health News has been arguing for some weeks that if NHS England is going to make the case to Treasury for another big injection of national cash into NHS IT then it should publish the report on which its case is made.
After all, those charged with drawing up plans for healthcare reform, for planning IT investment at a local level, and for buying and implementing systems, should surely know whether the case is sound; and exactly where they should be looking to spend their precious capital if it is.
This week, Digital Health News was able to publish a detailed PowerPoint presentation of the McKinsey report that is clearly influencing the Treasury bid; and a lot of national NHS IT policy.
It shows that the management consultants think the NHS will need to spend as much as £8.3 billion over and above what it already spends on IT over the next five years, to achieve savings of between £5.2 billion and £13.7 billion – or, at the top end, a cool quarter of the NHS’ projected funding gap of £30 billion by 2020-21.
|
|
Is the case sound? McKinsey thinks that a good quarter of the investment will need to go into electronic health records and related technologies to, as it does not say, complete the business of the National Programme for IT. Yet, as Digital Health editor Jon Hoeksma notes, hard evidence of hard benefits from this kind of investment is conspicuous by its absence.
Meantime, even McKinsey admits that the case for investing in newer ideas, such as transparency and digital channels for patients, is “untested” at best. That’s not to say investment is not needed. No industry has met the kind of challenges that the NHS faces without using IT to reduce variability and shift work from higher paid to lower paid staff – or users.
And that may be why the commissioning board tends to sound quietly confident of a tech fund three. But using it to deliver that productivity challenge will be a whole new scale of undertaking. Since it’s not one that the NHS can afford to miss, let’s hope lessons are learned from digitisation efforts past, that spending is transparent, and that benefits cases are drawn up for everyone to learn from.
|